May 26 (Bloomberg) -- European stocks rose for a second
day, their first back-to-back gain in two weeks, on optimism
that the global economy will expand fast enough to maintain
earnings growth.
``Stocks are pricing in sustained economic growth,'' said
Alejandro Velasco, who helps manage $530 million at Banca Privada
D'Andorra SA in Andorra. ``There's been excessive concern about
inflation. One must take advantage of recent declines.''
Unilever advanced after Deutsche Bank AG recommended the
company, citing its profit outlook. ThyssenKrupp AG and Corus
Group Plc rose on takeover speculation. Arcelor SA fell as the
steelmaker agreed to buy Russia's OAO Severstal to block a
hostile bid from Mittal Steel Co.
The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index added 2 percent to 323.17. The
index has risen 1.4 percent this week, the first gain in three
weeks. The Stoxx 50 rose 1.7 percent today, while the Euro Stoxx
50 index for the 12 countries using the euro advanced 1.8 percent.
Stocks in Europe have recovered about a third of this
month's slump that was triggered by concern accelerating
inflation would prompt higher interest rates. Reports today and
yesterday showed the U.S. economy is growing just enough to keep
inflation in check.
Members of the Stoxx 600 may increase earnings by an
average 11 percent this year, according to analysts' estimates
compiled by FactSet Research Systems Inc. in London. That's up
from a prediction of 9.2 percent growth at the start of the
month. Profits advanced 24 percent in 2005.
Reports this week showed business confidence unexpectedly
rose this month in Italy and held near a 15-year high in Germany.
Personal Incomes
In the U.S., a report today showed a gauge tied to consumer
spending last month was in line with economists' expectations.
The Commerce Department also reported personal incomes rose 0.5
percent, less than a 0.7 percent forecast. The government said
yesterday the economy expanded in the first quarter at a slower
rate than predicted, with the price indicator matching estimates.
``We are seeing relief in the markets about the income
figures, which indicate that upward pressure on wages hasn't
been as high as people suspected,'' said Daniel Knuchel, chief
investment officer at ATAG Asset Management in Zurich, which
oversees the equivalent of $4.1 billion.
The Stoxx 600 slumped 10 percent between May 10 and May 22.
Today's gain marks the first consecutive advance since May 9.
Indexes rose in all 18 western European markets. Germany's
DAX gained 1.4 percent, while the U.K.'s FTSE 100 advanced 2
percent. France's CAC 40 added 1.9 percent.
`Threat Behind Us'
``The threat of low growth and inflation is behind us,''
said Claudio Morsenchio, who helps manage the equivalent of
about $750 million at Banco Emiliano Romagnolo SpA in Bologna,
Italy. ``The correction was excessive. European markets will see
interesting levels soon.''
Unilever gained 3.3 percent to 1,221 pence. Deutsche Bank
raised its recommendation on the shares to ``buy'' from
``hold,'' and raised a price estimate 11 percent to 20 euros,
saying the shares were cheap relative to peers' stocks.
Nutreco Holding NV increased 3.8 percent to 46.96 euros.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analysts raised a recommendation on
stock in the Dutch animal-feed maker to ``outperform'' from
``in-line.'' They cited optimism the company will use cash to
buy back shares or pay a special dividend.
Arcelor slipped 3 percent to 33.05 euros in Paris. The
Luxembourg-based company agreed to buy a controlling stake in
Severstal, in a 13 billion-euro ($16.6 billion) transaction that
will create the world's biggest steelmaker.
`No Logic'
``I'm totally amazed,'' said Daniel Broby, chief investment
officer at Bankinvest in Copenhagen, who helps manage $14
billion in assets. ``There's no industrial logic. The board has
secured its future at the expense of shareholders.''
Mittal, currently the world's largest maker of steel, added
2 percent to 25 euros.
Speculation that Mittal may seek other targets lifted
shares of steel companies in the region. ThyssenKrupp, Germany's
largest steelmaker, climbed 4.8 percent to 27.54 euros. Corus
Group, the U.K.'s biggest, rose 3.4 percent to 385.75 pence.
``The deal raises the value of steel stocks and signals
that consolidation may continue,'' said Dirk Werner, an analyst
at Independent Research GmbH in Frankfurt, who has a ``buy''
recommendation on the stock.
TNT NV advanced 1.8 percent to 29.05 euros. Europe's
second-biggest express-package delivery company said it plans to
sell a logistics unit for at least 1.15 billion euros so it can
focus on more profitable mail and express services.
Mergers, Acquisitions
BAA Plc, the world's largest airport operator, gained 4.2
percent to 820.5 pence. Grupo Ferrovial SA, Spain's second-
biggest builder, will press on with an 8.75 billion-pound ($16.4
billion) bid for BAA even after regulators said they're probing
the U.K. company's share of Britain's airport market.
Natexis Banques Populaires climbed the most in the Stoxx
600, surging 11 percent to 206 euros. The investment-banking
unit of Groupe Banque Populaire gained after Caisse des Depots
et Consignations agreed to sell its stake in Groupe Caisse
d'Epargne, removing an obstacle to a merger between Caisses
d'Epargne and Natexis's parent company.
House of Fraser Plc, the U.K.'s third-largest department-
store company, jumped 5.4 percent to 132.25 pence on speculation
that Icelandic investor Baugur Group HF may be preparing a
takeover bid.
An offer by Baugur may take place in ``weeks,'' the Daily
Telegraph reported today, citing an interview with Jon Asgeir
Johannesson, chief executive officer of the Icelandic company.
House of Fraser said May 2 it had received a ``very
preliminary'' approach from an unidentified suitor that may lead
to a bid.
To contact the reporter on this story:
Alexis Xydias in London at
axydias@bloomberg.net